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美国对中国电动车关税或从25%提升到100%,放弃美国又何妨?_我的网站

父女七日变

一 |     

中国汽车出口已经是全球第一了,并且已经进入了很多国家市场,但是唯独没有进入美国市场。原因是美国非但不给中国电动车补贴,还有高关税。

二 | 而最近外媒报道说,将再次增加中国新能源汽车的关税,让中国汽车的出口越来越难。    

An aerial view of Taipei, Taiwan Province. Photo: VCG
    An aerial view of Taipei, Taiwan Province. Photo: VCG
At 2:30 pm on Thursday, Taipei resident Michael Chou received a mobile alert, stating that due to "simulated air attack on communications infrastructure," mobile network access would be affected. 
It turned out to be a mobile internet disruption drill in the northern part of the Taiwan island. As part of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) authorities' "urban resilience drill," the exercise was designed to simulate scenarios of limited communication resources amid major disasters or wartime conditions and verify public‑service backup capabilities, according to Taiwan-based media. 
Yet in the view of observers, this performative farce not only disrupts residents' daily lives, but also acts as a tool for DPP authorities to hype up crises and amplify cross‑Straits confrontation. It essentially serves their scheme of "seeking independence by force" and narrow‑minded electoral interests.
As reported by udn.com, the exercise ran from 2:30 pm to 3 pm. When the alert was triggered, local police diverted pedestrians and vehicles to the roadside and urged the public to take shelter indoors. With mobile network speeds throttled, most people at the site lost mobile internet access; many waited out the drill indoors with available Wi‑fi and passed the time by chatting or reading. 
Chou told the Global Times that 4G and 5G connections were heavily throttled during the drill, though Wi‑Fi and text messaging still worked. Even so, the exercise has created real‑world inconveniences, disrupting takeout delivery, transport‑related ticketing and outdoor emergency rescue services.
Local legislator Ko Ju-chun from the Chinese Kuomintang party was also among those opposing the drill. He accused the DPP for abusing emergency alerts which only exposed the public to inconvenience. He noted that a genuine network‑resilience drill should focus on "how the public obtain information after networks go down," yet local people still had no clear idea how to respond in such circumstances, per Taiwan-based media. 
"The so‑called mobile internet disruption drill has very limited practical combat value. And if a military conflict breaks out across the Taiwan Straits, the real‑world scenario would be far more complex than the DPP authorities have envisioned, with much higher costs to bear," Zhang Wensheng, a deputy dean and a professor at the Taiwan Research Institute at Xiamen University, told the Global Times.
"The DPP authorities want the drill to stoke tensions, drumming up public backing for its combative defense policies and higher military budgets. Yet it fears over‑hyping the specter of war would disrupt daily life and erode its popular support, hence this superficial, showpiece drill," said the expert. 
According to Zhang, the DPP authorities also intend to test Taiwan residents' tolerance threshold. It seeks to observe whether the public will passively acquiesce or push back strongly, so as to assess the mobilization effect of its narratives of "resisting mainland to protect Taiwan" and "rejecting reunification by force."
Prior to the mobile internet disruption drill in northern parts of Taiwan island, seven counties and cities in the central Taiwan region held the same drill on Monday afternoon.
Many residents have questioned why the southern region was exempt. DPP officials claimed southern Taiwan had suffered real‑life communication outages in past years and that a drill in the southern part of the island scheduled to take place at 10 am, when the Stock Exchange of Taiwan region is open, could disrupt real-time stock transactions. 
"This drill is utterly absurd," Chou said, "The DPP probably figures that if anything goes wrong in central and northern Taiwan, it does not matter, local mayors would take the blame."
Echoing Chou, Zhang said that the DPP authorities do not want drill‑related disruptions to harm their core support base in southern Taiwan, particularly Tainan and Kaohsiung. By contrast, jurisdictions across central and northern Taiwan include many areas ruled by the KMT, which are being used as test subjects for the exercise. 
By striking a posture of "combat readiness," hyping up cross‑Straits confrontation and ramping up ideological mobilization, the DPP aims to serve its interests in the year‑end local elections, he added.
"However, voters always pay more attention to livelihoods, the economy and governance performance in local election. If DPP's political manipulation go too far, it will backfire," Zhang said. "The overwhelming majority of Taiwan compatriots refuse to become cannon‑fodder for secessionists."
The DPP authorities do not hesitate to use the well‑being of Taiwan residents and cross‑Straits peace and stability as bargaining chips for their own political interests, fully laying bare its true colors as a troublemaker, the expert warned. 
据《华尔街日报》等海外媒体10日报道,美国总统拜登决定将中国产电动汽车关税从原来的25%提高到100%,提高4倍。美国汽车业界一直担心,仅征收25%的关税还不足以阻止中国低价电动汽车的攻势。
目前,美国对所有进口汽车征收2.5%的关税,但是对中国产电动汽车征收25%的关税。美国政府曾表示:“这是为了阻止中国产低价电动汽车出口美国。” 美国对中国
最近,美国前总统唐纳德·特朗普曾表示,如果在11月的美国大选中获胜,将把中国列为适合的国家,对中国产品征收60%的关税。

三 | 他解释说,这是为了防止与其他制造商相比相对便宜的中国产品进入北美,破坏内需市场生态系统而采取的应对措施。

在今年11月美国大选之前,拜登总统似乎也意识到了前总统特朗普的表态。

四 | 预计即使政权更迭,中方也无法避免这样的关税方针。

对此,中国政府慷慨激昂地暗示了贸易战。如果美国强行实施这些关税政策,将采取贸易报复措施。中国外交部发言人林健表示:“我们将采取一切措施维护中国的利益和权利。”
现有的只对中国电动汽车征收的关税已经非常严苛。如果包括2.5%的现有关税和25%的中国产品进口关税,合计将征收27.5%的关税。但是中国电动汽车的价格相对来说非常低廉,即使征收27.5%的关税,也可以在美国以有竞争力的价格推出。

五 |

目前,中国正迎来EV的全盛期。2023年美国电动汽车平均占有率仅为7.6%。虽然在引进电动汽车方面领先的加利福尼亚州占有率为21.4%,但中国在自己的电动汽车市场占有率高达37%。远远超过了其他发达国家的占有率。

六 |

考虑到中国电动汽车制造商的上升趋势,北美出口似乎是理所当然的。但如果美国上调中国产电动汽车关税的方案获得通过,中国品牌将在北美市场当地追加建设工厂,如果不能从美国当地采购大部分零部件,北美出口将很困难。
面对美国的刁难,中国新能源汽车产业想要突围,进入美国是很难了。我认为不如干脆放弃美国市场,因为在全球市场面前,美国市场的规模也就这样。

七 | 但就怕美国会联手其它国家,一起给中国使绊子。

八 |

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Published on:07:42:00


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