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Tax Cuts Not the Remedy: Tory Candidates Have No Realistic Plan to Tackle UK Crisis, Observers Admit_我的网站

A | 1月16日消息今天，国家邮政总局宣布2018年邮政业的运营。2018年，邮政业营业收入（不含邮政储蓄银行直接业务收入）7904.7亿元，比上年增长19.4%，业务总量1234.5亿元，比上年增长26.4%。 "I think the end of the Johnson administration is a positive thing, despite the infighting," says Rodney Atkinson, an academic and political and economic commentator. "The candidates may be promising irresponsible tax cuts and not understanding how the economy works but the public debate is more mature and in the end the right policies could emerge.",One of the candidates, Sajid Javid, former health secretary, vowed to axe the former chancellor’s plans to raise the corporation tax from 19% to 25% in April 2023, and decrease the rate to 15%. His competitor Jeremy Hunt pledged the lowest rate of business taxes in the Western world, while Liz Truss, yet another contender, is also willing to adhere to "low-tax principles." In contrast, former Chancellor Rishi Sunak, who is seeking the prime ministership along with his party fellows, has placed emphasis on "fiscal prudence" rather than tax cuts, while criticizing other candidates for offering "comforting fairytales.","There are two economic issues here," explains Gayle Allard, a professor of economics at IE University in Spain. "One is the debt, which is clearly a problem for the UK and which would be aggravated by tax cuts. The other is the dilemma between trying to restart growth (which requires a tax cut) and to control very high inflation (which requires a tax increase). And then there is a political objective: voters like tax cuts. Which will win out? I would hope for a short-term tax increase, with the government keeping its promise to reduce it later. I think that makes the most sense.",According to Atkinson, those who are promoting tax cuts without at least equal cuts in state spending are "totally irresponsible.",While the bulk of the candidates are promising anything between 20 and 40 billion in tax cuts, what everyone's really pledging is "to reverse the increase, which was implemented as of April 1," according to Marc Ostwald, chief economist at ADM Investor Services International.,"Let's take, for instance, the corporation tax cut which is being proposed," Ostwald says. "It's not actually a tax cut, because really all it is, is basically saying 'we're not going to implement the increase from 19% to 25% in corporation tax that is planned for next year.' Only Jeremy Hunt, I think, amongst them all is basically pledging to actually cut it down to 15%.",UK's Tory Government Faces Social Collapse, Having No-One But Itself to Blame21 June, 05:48 GMT,However, there are plenty of problems that cannot be fixed by the much-discussed tax cuts, Ostwald underscores: "The UK's infrastructure is atrocious; the level of poverty in the country is bad; the cost of living crisis [is] somewhat worse in the UK than across much of the rest of the developed world.",British unions kicked off a series of industrial actions starting from June 2022, demanding pay raises in line with skyrocketing inflation and protesting over the cost of living crisis. Tens of thousands of railway workers walked off the job in Britain on June 21. Criminal law barristers took to the streets on June 27. Teachers' unions and the civil service have been balloted on possible industrial action, while doctors and nurses are threatening to follow suit. Meanwhile, British rail and transport workers have voted in favor of a new strike in July.,There are also a whole array of problems related to Brexit, including red tape and other "non-tariff barriers" which translated into additional costs for businesses and are eating away at their margins, according to the economist. He laments the fact that neither the Tory nor Labour Party has so far proposed any solutions to these problems.,'We Want to Save Lives': How Tory Cabinets Pushed NHS to the Wall, Disregarded Nation's Health28 June, 17:52 GMT,UK's Political Instability Making Crisis Worse,The unfolding socio-economic instability has been exacerbated by Johnson's resignation and the internal infighting among British Tories is to some extent "damaging the economy by creating unnecessary uncertainty," according to Kevin Dowd, professor of finance and economics at Durham University.,"[A] lot will depend on who wins the leadership," Dowd says. "There are one, maybe two, decent candidates in there but for the most part they are a sorry lot, and I am not optimistic that a good prime minister will emerge… Most if not all of these people do not have a strong grasp of what the country needs, so I expect a lot more policy drift and a bad outcome for the Tories in the next general election.",A big number of contenders for BoJo's position "shows actually that Johnson has left a bit of a vacuum, because he was to some extent actually quite popular, despite all his lies, despite all his gaffes, despite his incompetent policies, despite all the back to and froing," according to Ostwald.,However, none of the 11 contenders "stands out as a genuine leader, as a prime minister, as a leader of a country," the economist emphasizes.,Boris Johnson Pledges Not to Back Any Tory Bidder as 'Dirty' Leadership Race Gains SteamYesterday, 14:30 GMT,'It's Johnson's Fault',It is Johnson who bears "90 percent" of responsibility for the current crisis, the economic observers argue.,"[Johnson] had let state finances get out of control before the COVID Lockdown spending," Atkinson says. "He has been the most irresponsible prime minister since Edward Heath who between 1970 and 1974 led a spending and monetary expansion boom. It resulted in the International Monetary Fund (IMF) controlling the UK economy in 1975. Johnson’s first instinct was more Government and more spending and more borrowing. We will be paying for his failure for decades.",Johnson "must bear a lot of the blame," Kevin Dowd agrees. While having a huge parliamentary majority and the opportunity to make radical reforms free of the shackles of the EU, Johnson "blew it," according to the professor.,"What are the chances of the UK going into recession? I think it's pretty much baked in the cake," echoes Ostwald. "There isn't a lot of momentum there. The trade position is getting worse. The cost of living crisis is quite clearly there and the investment into the UK is getting weaker and I would add that this whole methodology of applying sanctions by seizing assets is particularly bad for the UK. The UK has been attracting foreign capital from Russia, from the Middle East, from Asia, from pretty much anywhere that one can think of for a very, very long time.",However, it's not only the outgoing prime minister who is responsible for the current crisis in the UK, the economist admits: "These have been accumulating for years. People have been going to the food banks in the UK since the numbers started rising in the early 2010s after the global financial crisis and the numbers got a lot worse than in the meantime, particularly due to the cost of living crisis," Ostwald concluded.。根据国家邮政总局公布的数据，12月份，全行业实现营业收入763亿元，比上年增长16.7%，业务总量1279.6亿元，比上年增长26.2%。

B | 数据显示，2018年，邮政业务总量1988.8亿元，比上年增长17.3%；邮政业务总量237.5亿元，比上年增长0.5%；邮政业务总收入368.3亿元，比上年增长1.5%。比上年增长41%。12月，邮政业务完成186.5亿元，比上年同期增长17.2%；邮政业务完成20.4亿元，比上年同期下降1.1%；邮政业务收入完成29.4亿元，比上年同期下降5%。

C | 2018年，邮政通信业务完成26.8亿份，比上年下降15%；包裹业务完成2407万份，比上年下降9.4%；报纸业务完成172.9亿份，比上年下降2.3%；杂志业务完成790万份，比上年下降0.6%。

D | 上年完成交易2520万份，比上年下降32.7%。2018年，我国快递服务企业业务量507.1亿件，比上年增长26.6%，营业收入638亿元，比上年增长21.8%。

E | 其中，同一城市建成114亿1000万件，比上年增长23.1%；不同地区建成381亿9000万件，比上年增长27.5%；在国际、香港、澳门、台湾完成111亿件，比上年增长34%。12月，我国快递服务企业完成业务54.2亿件，比去年同期增长29%，实现营业收入609.6亿元，比去年同期增长17.3%。2018，同一城市、异地、国际/香港、澳门和台湾快递业务分别占快递业务总额的22.5%、75.3%和2.2%，营业收入分别占快递总收入的15%、51.4%和9.7%。

F | 与上年同期相比，同一城市快递业务比重下降0.6个百分点，各地快递业务比重提高0.5个百分点，国际/香港、澳门、台湾业务比重提高0.1个百分点。

G | 2018年，东部、中部和西部地区快递业务占比分别为79.9%、12.3%和7.8%，业务收入占比分别为80%、11.2%和8.8%。与去年同期相比，东部地区的快递业务比重下降1.2个百分点，快递业务收入比重下降0.9个百分点；中部地区的快递业务比重上升0.7个百分点，快递业务比重下降。场馆增长0.4个百分点；西部地区快递业务和快递业务收入占比增长0.5个百分点。